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The Carpathian Basin can face drought and a large number of heat alarms

“We can get an hourly wage of about 1 fort if we entrust the physical labor to a machine driven by an oil derivative rather than a man,” Judith Bartholi said in a lecture at the Hungarian Science Festival. The climate researcher revealed a largely unanimous message to the world’s scientific community today: We have no time to hesitate, to compromise, to make immediate and dramatic reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, especially carbon dioxide and methane, If we want to get to know our planet in a few decades.

Particular emphasis has been placed on methane, of which large-scale animal husbandry is one of its main sources. The rapporteur said that although the amount of hydrocarbon produced is much less than the amount of carbon dioxide, it has a much stronger effect on global warming, so daily consumption of meat, especially beef, contributes surprisingly significantly to climate change.

As the researcher said: There is a need to reduce emissions in all economic and industrial sectors, We need to completely change the way consumers live in the world today, and in addition to reducing emissions, we also need to find a technological way to start removing significant amounts of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. And there is not much time for this, and the later it starts, the more painful decisions will have to be made.

All climate models suggest that above a 2°C rise in average global temperature, Earth’s climate will change irreversibly, and start processes that will push climate even further—to fill natural carbon sinks (such as the oceans). , methane is bound to the atmosphere by warming ice in permafrost or deep water.

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To stay below the still-acceptable 1.5°C warming, global carbon emissions must fall to zero by 2040, two decades ago – a steady rise so far.

According to the model’s calculations, the Carpathian Basin region is particularly exposed to extremes, so in summer, for example, we will have to endure more warming – or rather, warming – than the increase in average global temperature, much for this reason By the end of the century, the frequency of heat alarms of varying degrees could increase up to tenfold. In addition, the distribution of precipitation becomes more extreme: We may have wetter winters and even drier summers.

Speaking about the impending climatic disaster and the environmental disaster before our eyes, Urs Zatmary, Chair of the Commission on Sustainable Development of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, emphasized that our current way of life.

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